Series Preview – Rays @ White Sox
Quick note: I will be out from now until the weekend, it’s one of my busier times of the year.
I think the Rays are the bees knees and I make no bones about it. They’re a well run organization. Imagine what they’d do if they had more of a budget.
Here’s the lineup we’re most likely to see:
The Rays are excellent defensively, they have a balanced lineup, and their rotation stacks up well against ours. We get the benefit of facing the back-end of their rotation, if you can call that a benefit. While Price and Davis are projected as slightly below average starters by CHONE, but they both have the capability to dominannihilate. In game three the Sox face James Shields, so for a team that’s struggling to hit, this could be a challenge. Here’s how the pitching matches up:
|Runs allowed per 6 IP|
Like pretty much the rest of their team, their bullpen also is pretty solid, so things don’t get a lot easier getting past the starters. Here’s PythagenPat on how the series should shake out, considering the Sox play their “usual” lineup. I’m optimistically forecasting Jones playing over Kotsay.
Here’s the “Kotsay’s playing, oh no” odds:
The difference between a two-for-three series win against a good team and a sweep hinges on whether or not Ozzie puts Mark Kotsay in the lineup. OK, that’s probably extreme. All of this is based on full seasons scaled down to a three game series, and a lot can happen over a three game series. The greater point remains, though. Kotsay smells.