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Game Reaction: Game Eight

2010/04/13

fangraphs.com

The pick that clicked: Alex Rios 4% win probability added
Goat: Gavin Floyd -19%
Total contribution by the pitchers: -10.8%
Total contribution by the hitters: -39.2%

There’s really not much to say about this one. Ricky Romero was really, really good, taking a no-hitter into the 8th inning. His change-up was especially deadly.  A.J. Pierzynski lied his way to first base on a phantom hit by pitch, and then Rios broke up the no-no with a two-run homer. They’re not booing, they’re just saying Ri-oooooooos. It merely sounds strange to us Americans. Canadian accents, you know.

I wonder if Floyd could’ve avoided that 2-run 5th inning. Overbay reached on a fielder’s choice, which could have been a double play. Maybe my memory is failing me, but it seems like Floyd was slow to cover first, delaying Alexei’s throw to first base. Eh. Oh, well.

Tomorrow it’s Danks versus Brandon Morrow of the good stuff and the bad control. Fast-but-straight fastball and lots of them. (He throws them about 70% of the time.) He has a slider that gets a fair share of whiffs (24%), and Morrow also throws a not-so-good splitter. He was jerked around by the Mariners (is he a starter? is he a reliever?) but has a lot of opportunity to stick as a starter in Toronto. Here’s his movement graph, all of last year to this year:

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2 Comments leave one →
  1. Kevin Swain permalink
    2010/04/14 10:16 AM

    It’s funny how the flow of a game can change in a heartbeat. I was from the 5th inning on looking how effective Romero was and hoping we could avoid the embarrassment of a no no. After Rios’s hr with no body out in the 9th we’re back in it. Looked at your blog from the plug on Boer’s and Bernstein – love what I see. If your interested I’ll write back and share with you a story that probaly caused Don Kessinger to quit or be fired in 1979.

    soxfandeluxe

    • 2010/04/14 4:23 PM

      Thanks for the kind words, and be sure to share away any juicy gossip you might have. you can email me at eriknmanningATgmailDOTcom

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